Migration forecasting

Migration forecasting is intended to provide informed guesses about future migration flows and trends the world. This is crucial information for policymakers who wish to anticipate future challenges and adjust policies, design programmes and allocate resources. The term ‘forecasting’ is often used synonymously with ‘predictions’ or ‘population projections’. Migration forecasts are based on various and differing assumptions and results are prone to high uncertainty and errors because it is not possible to accurately predict the future.

Last updated on
20 December 2017