Migration forecasting

Last updated on 9 June 2020

Migration forecasting is intended to provide informed guesses about future migration flows and trends. This is crucial information for policymakers to anticipate future challenges and adjust policies, design programmes and allocate resources. The term “forecast” is often used synonymously with “prediction” or “projection”, despite slight differences in meaning. Migration forecasts can be based on various and differing assumptions and results are prone to high uncertainty and errors because it is not possible to accurately predict the future.

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