Return Migration
There are two main forms of return migration: voluntary return and forced return. Data on forced return are usually collected by national and international statistical offices, border protection and immigration law enforcement agencies. The International Organization for Migration (IOM) collects data on assisted voluntary return and reintegration programmes that it implements worldwide.
IOM Assisted Voluntary Return and Reintegration and Voluntary Humanitarian Return in 2023
Back to topDefinition
There is no universally accepted definition of return migration.
Return is “in a general sense, the act or process of going back or being taken back to the point of departure. This could be within the territorial boundaries of a country, as in the case of returning internally displaced persons (IDPs) and demobilized combatants; or between a country of destination or transit and a country of origin, as in the case of migrant workers, refugees or asylum seekers” (IOM Glossary on Migration, 2019).
Two main types of return migration are defined as follows:
1. Voluntary return - is “the assisted or independent return to the country of origin, transit or another country based on the voluntary decision of the returnee” (IOM Glossary on Migration, 2019).
Voluntary returns can be either spontaneous or assisted:
- Spontaneous return is “the voluntary, independent return of a migrant or a group of migrants to their country of origin, usually without the support of States or other international or national assistance” (IOM Glossary on Migration, 2019).
- Assisted voluntary return and reintegration (AVRR) is the "administrative, logistical or financial support, including reintegration assistance, to migrants unable or unwilling to remain in the host country or country of transit and who decide to return to their country of origin" (IOM Glossary on Migration, 2019).
- Voluntary humanitarian return (VHR) is the application of assisted voluntary return and reintegration principles in humanitarian settings and “often represents a life-saving measure for migrants who are stranded or in detention” (IOM, 2023).
2. Forced return - “a migratory movement which, although the drivers can be diverse, involves force, compulsion, or coercion.” (IOM Glossary on Migration, 2019).
Recent trends
Global
While millions of migrants return to their country of origin every year, not all returns are necessarily recorded. In 2020, the COVID-19 pandemic posed considerable challenges to return migration because of lockdowns, travel restrictions, limited consular services, and other containment measures, and had a decelerating effect on return activities. In 2021, many countries lifted travel restrictions and different types of migration, including return migration, resumed but not to pre-pandemic levels. In 2022, returns reached pre-pandemic levels once more (IOM, 2023).
The number of beneficiaries of IOM’s Assisted Voluntary Return and Reintegration (AVRR) in 2023 increased by 4 per cent (from 50,001 in 2022 to 56,045 in 2023) (IOM, 2024). The number of beneficiaries of voluntary humanitarian return increased by 4 per cent, from 15,281 in 2022 to 15,096 in 2023 (ibid.).
The top 5 host/transit countries for both AVRR and VHR in 2023 were: The Niger (13,039, -13% from 2022), Germany 10,761, (+36% from 2022), Libya (9,369, -16%), Yemen (6,537, +60%), and Greece (2,705, -11%) (ibid.).
The European Economic Area (EEA) and the United Kingdom (UK)
During the pandemic, Frontex, the European Union Border and Coast Guard Agency, reported that travel restrictions and a decline in consular services had a decelerating effect on return migration (Frontex, 2021).
Around 515,000 irregular migrants were given a “return decision” by European Union (EU) Member States in 2022 but only 86,000 people were effectively returned (either forcibly or voluntarily) (Frontex, 2024).
In the year ending (YE) September 2023, 22,800 people left the UK via enforced or voluntary return (Walsh and Cuibus, 2024). There were 5,500 enforced returns in YE September 2023, 40 per cent fewer than pre-pandemic levels. Enforced returns decreased by 82 per cent between 2012 and 2021 (ibid.). There were 17,300 voluntary returns from the UK in the year ending 30 Swptember 2023, over three times the figure in 2020, but still 50 per cent lower than a decade ago (ibid.).
A total of 21,407 migrants were assisted to return from the EEA in 2023, which accounted for 30 per cent of the total global caseload (IOM, 2024). Most of the beneficiaries were assisted to return from Germany (10,761, or 50% of the total number of beneficiaries assisted from the EEA). Next top countries were Greece (2,705), Belgium (2,308), the Netherlands (1,893), and Austria (829) (ibid.).
South-Eastern Europe, Eastern Europe and Central Asia (SEEECA)
Historically, the region had mostly countries of origin, but the movements have recently become more diverse, and it has countries of origin, transit as well as destination. In 2023, a total of 3,561 migrants were assisted to return from the SEEECA region, while 13,997 were returned to the region, 89 per cent of which were returned from the EEA (GMDAC analysis of IOM, 2024). Countries in the region, especially the Western Balkans, have increasingly become transit countries for migrants and refugees from the Middle East and Asia on their way to Western Europe. Also, intraregional migration remains key in the region even though most outflows are towards the European Union (IOM, 2023).
Central America, North America and the Caribbean
The U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) reported 142,580 removals in fiscal year 2023 (ICE, 2024). This constitutes a 97.5 per cent increase compared to fiscal year 2022 due to changes in both migration patterns and the USA's immigration rules, including the lifting of Title 42 (a rule allowing the prohibition of entry and allowing of expulsions of those deemed to pose a health risk, implemented due to the Covid-19 pandemic) (ibid.).
In 2023, there were 2,163 cases of AVRR from Central and North America and the Caribbean, or 37 per cent more than in 2022, and six times the number of cases from 2020 (359) (IOM, 2024; 2023; 2022). 25 percent of the cases were children (IOM, 2024). Mexico continues to be the top country from which the majority of migrants (49% or 1,057) in the region were returned (ibid.). The next top host countries were Guatemala (492), Panama (248), Honduras (160), and Belize (75) (ibid.).
South America
In 2023, a total of 52 migrants returned from South America; 65 per cent were female and 35 per cent were male, but 36 per cent of the cases were children (ibid.). In contrast, 4,233 migrants were returned to South America, 75 per cent from the EEA (GMDAC analysis of ibid.)
Asia and the Pacific
In 2023, a total of 762 migrants were assisted to return from Asia and the Pacific region, an increase of 45 per cent compared to the previous year (522) (IOM, 2024). As in 2018-2022, the majority of return flows from the region in 2023 were intraregional (ibid.). The top 5 host countries in the region were: Australia (203 migrants assisted), Viet Nam (126), Indonesia (116), The Philippines (94) and Japan (42) (ibid.).
The Middle East and North Africa
In 2023, a total of 25,099 migrants (9,193 migrants assisted under AVRR and 15,906 migrants assisted under VHR) were returned from the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region (IOM, 2024). Eighty-one per cent of the cases were male and 19 per cent were female (ibid.). The top 5 host countries in the regions were: Libya (9,369), Yemen (6.537), Tunisia (2.557), Algeria (2,422) and Morocco (2,007) (ibid.).
West and Central Africa
In 2023, 15,232 returns from the West and Central Africa (WCA) region accounted for 21 per cent of the global AVRR caseload (GMDAC analysis of ibid.). The Niger alone accounted for approximately 86 per cent (13,039) of all migrants assisted to return from the region (ibid.). The host countries with the second and third highest numbers of migrants assisted were Mali (906) and Mauritania (500) (ibid.). The majority of international migrants in WCA were intraregional, which confirms the trend of increasing numbers of returns taking place from transit countries. In 2023, the three main countries of origin within the region were Guinea, with 6.459 return, Mali (5,534) and Nigeria (4,734) (ibid.).
East and Horn of Africa
In East and Horn of Africa, a total of 3,655 migrants were assisted to return from the region in 2023, over double the number in 2022 (1,703) and 5 per cent of the total caseload (ibid.). The majority of the beneficiaries (88%) assisted to return were male. The majority of those assisted were also from Djibouti, representing around 70 per cent of the total regional caseload, or 2,559 cases. The second biggest host country in the region was the United Republic of Tanzania, with approximately 12 per cent of AVRRs from the region or 448 cases (GMDAC analysis of ibid.).
Southern Africa
In 2023, a total of 20 migrants were assisted to return from Southern Africa; of these, 70 percent were male and the rest were female (ibid.).
Data sources
Global
As the largest global provider of Assisted Voluntary Return (AVR) and Assisted Voluntary Return and Reintegration (AVRR) programmes, IOM collects voluntary return data on a regular basis. IOM data include the number of participants, host and origin country, as well as sex, age and migration status in the host country prior to return. Since 2010, IOM has published key data on the AVRR website. IOM data also include information on assisted migrants by specific vulnerability (unaccompanied migrant children, migrants with health-related needs and victims of trafficking).
Data on returned or “repatriated” refugees – i.e. refugees who have returned to their country of origin spontaneously or in an organized manner (sometimes with help of IOM’s AVRR programmes)– are collected respectively by IOM and UNHCR.
Data on the outflows of the foreign population from selected OECD countries are collected by OECD’S Continuous Reporting System on International Migration (SOPEMI) and published in the annual International Migration Outlook report.
The EU-IOM Knowledge Management Hub has developed a Monitoring and Evaluation (M&E) package for return and reintegration programmes, with the aim of harmonising M&E across global return and reintegration programmes.
Europe
Since 2014, Eurostat has provided the following data for EU Member States on return migration of people who are third-country nationals:
- Third country nationals ordered to leave - annual data (rounded);
- Third country nationals returned following an order to leave - annual data (rounded);
- Third-country nationals who have left the territory by type of return and citizenship;
- Third-country nationals who have left the territory by type of assistance received and citizenship.
Data on forced and voluntary return from EU Member States and the three Schengen Associated Countries (Iceland, Norway and Switzerland) are also published in the Frontex Risk Analysis Reports.
The Return Migration and Development Platform from the European University Institute promotes exchange and knowledge-sharing about return migrants’ realities and the contexts of their experiences.
United States
Data on the U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) agency’s “enforcement and removal operations” (ERO), including forced returns, are summarized in its annual reports.
Central and South America
Data on return migration from and to Central and South (and Northern) American countries was collected by OECD’s Continuous Reporting System on International Migration in the Americas (SICREMI) and published in the International Migration in the Americas reports until 2017.
Australia
The Australian Government Department of Immigration and Border Protection publishes annual data on forced and voluntary return from Australia.
Afghanistan
IOM reports on undocumented returnees from Iran and Pakistan to Afghanistan here.
Some countries and/or organizations have collected data to monitor return migration and the outcomes of return programmes, for example:
- Four EU Member States – Austria, Belgium, Czech Republic and Norway – have collected data on post-return, monitoring returnees to identify longer-term outcomes.
- Switzerland: IOM tracked outcomes for returnees from Switzerland to Nigeria whom it assisted in 2015, at roughly 9 months post-return.
- In the UK in 2013, the charity Refugee Action compiled a small study of the post-return experiences of their beneficiaries.
A few research studies have assessed the sustainability of return and reintegration programmes. For example, Koser and Kuschminder (2015) developed a Return and Reintegration Index which was tested on 156 returnees in eight countries of origin. Strand et al. (2016) measured sustainable return based on the perception of returnees from Norway to Afghanistan, Ethiopia, Iraq and Kosovo1, and ICMPD (2015) conducted a study to evaluate the sustainability of AVR programmes from Austria to Kosovo.1
Back to topData strengths and limitations
Data on forced return and on voluntary return are scattered across different data sources and are often incomplete or only partially publicly available - For example, several countries that implement AVRR programmes (either under IOM or government auspices) are not reported on in the Eurostat database (e.g. Germany, The Netherlands, and the UK). In addition, voluntary departures are usually not tracked. In order to improve this, the EU is implementing the Integrated Return Management Application (IRMA), a secure web-platform for integrating all EU return activities.
There is a large data gap on post-return data mainly due to the lack of definitions and established indicators for measuring “reintegration”. However, in January 2016, the EMN released guidelines for the monitoring and evaluation of AVR(R) programmes that provide a list of questions and indicators to be included in post-return monitoring activities.
In 2017, the DFID-funded MEASURE Project (Mediterranean Sustainable Reintegration), a pilot project that fosters the sustainability of reintegration support in the framework of Assisted Voluntary Return and Reintegration in the Mediterranean, led to the development of a set of 15 field-tested indicators and a scoring system to measurement of reintegration outcomes and improving understanding of returnees’ progress towards sustainability. These indicators are based on a revised definition of sustainable reintegration in the context of return (IOM, 2017), and therefore relate to the three economic, social and psychosocial dimensions of reintegration. The scoring system allows comparison of trends in returnees’ reintegration across country contexts and over time.
Further reading
1 References to Kosovo shall be understood to be in the context of United Nations Security Council resolution 1244 (1999).
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